A verdict is only useful if you can see how it was reached. Our method is designed so that a motivated reader can reproduce the reasoning without trusting us as an authority.
Research layer
8 Method steps
These describe what we do while investigating a claim: define it, steelman it, test its mechanism, build the evidence trail, search for disconfirming evidence, calibrate the conclusion, state falsifiers and keep updates visible.
→
Publication layer
16 Investigation sections
These describe how the completed work is presented to the reader, from The Claim through Sources, Corrections & Updates and Last Reviewed.
Research workflow
The 8 Method steps
01
Define the claim
Separate the testable proposition from the surrounding story, rhetoric and identity cues. If a viral post bundles several claims together, split them before evaluating them.
02
Find the strongest version
We steelman the argument before testing it. Weak caricatures are easy to defeat and tell the reader very little.
03
Test the mechanism
Ask what would physically, biologically, historically or statistically have to be true for the claim to work. Then compare that required mechanism with established measurements and observations.
04
Build the evidence trail
Prefer primary sources, systematic reviews, technical reports, official datasets and standards. Secondary sources can add context, but they should not replace stronger underlying evidence.
05
Look for disconfirming evidence
Actively search for the strongest serious evidence against our emerging conclusion. If the claim has credible support, present it and explain its strengths and limitations.
06
Calibrate the conclusion
Use evidence language that matches the strength of the record. Unsupported is not the same as disproven. Inconclusive is not the same as false.
07
State what would change our mind
Whenever a claim is empirically testable, we state what kind of new evidence would materially change the conclusion. A claim that cannot lose is not a strong empirical claim.
08
Make updates visible
Material corrections are logged publicly. Evidence changes; our published conclusions must be able to change with it.
Exact mapping
8 Method steps → 16 Investigation sections
The Method is chronological research work. The Investigation is reader-facing presentation. The article therefore does not repeat the research sequence in order; each research step feeds one or more of the sixteen published sections below.
Research Method stepPublished Investigation sections
01
Define the claim
→
01The Claim02Where It Comes From
02
Find the strongest version
→
03Why It Sounds Convincing08The Strongest Evidence for the Claim10Common Viral Arguments
03
Test the mechanism
→
05How It Would Have to Work06What Actually Happens
04
Build the evidence trail
→
07What the Evidence Shows14Sources
05
Look for disconfirming evidence
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09The Strongest Evidence Against It11The Reasoning Error
06
Calibrate the conclusion
→
04The Short Answer13Evidence Status
07
State what would change our mind
→
12What Would Change Our Conclusion?
08
Make updates visible
→
15Corrections & Updates16Last Reviewed
Example: The Short Answer is section 04 because readers need the conclusion early, but it is produced by Method step 06 only after the mechanism and evidence have been tested.
Core principle
Don't take our word for it. Follow the evidence.
Governments can be wrong. Companies can mislead. Researchers can make mistakes. Influencers can occasionally be right. The evidentiary standard is the same for everyone.
SkinEmpiric
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